Yayın tarihi için Aktüerya Bilimleri Bölümü listeleme
Toplam kayıt 37, listelenen: 1-20
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Kasko Sigortasında Makine Öğrenmesi Yöntemleri ile Hasarlı/Hasarsız Durum Tahmini
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 19-09-19)The aim of this study is to estimate whether new insured who will join insurance company have claim by using machine learning methods. The increase in the number of vehicles in traffic each year brings with it an increase ... -
Hayat Dışı Sigortalarda Doğrusal Olmayan Bağımlılığın Kopulalar ile Dinamik Finansal Analizi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2013)In this study, with Dynamic Financial Analysis model approach that includes basic components for a non-life insurance company, two different simulation studies have been done. Non linear dependencies have been integrated ... -
Bireysel Emeklilik Süresini Etkileyen Faktörlerin Yaşam Çözümlemesi Ile Incelenmesi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2013)In Turkey in late 1990s, problems emerged in social security field like the disruption of balance of income and expenditure, decrease in asset–liability ratio have brought into the agenda a need for reform efforts in social ... -
Poısson Log-Bılıneer Yaklaşımıyla Lee-Carter Modellemesi Ve Türkiye Uygulaması
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2013)The aim of this study is to compare the performance results of Lee-Carter model,which is a common method for modelling death rates, and alternatively developedparameter estimation method which uses Poisson regression methods ... -
The Effect of Turkısh Mortalıty Improvements on the Cost of Annuıtıes Usıng Entropy Measure
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2014)Over the twentieth century there have been unprecedented and unexpected gradual decline in mortality rates due to process of eliminating hazards to survival, which have increased the life expectancy at birth remarkably. ... -
Genelleştirilmiş Doğrusal Modeller Için Sınırlı Dalgalanmalı Kredibilite Yaklaşımı
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2014)In this study, Generalized Linear Models (GLM) examined and Credibility Theory which are frequently used in non-life insurance pricing are combined. By GLM explanatory variables, comparison criterias which can be used in ... -
Türkiye Hayat Annüite Ürünlerindeki Ölümlülük Risklerinin Menkul Kıymetleştirilmesi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2014)Mortality rates are the measure of number of deaths in a society. There has been a great improvement in mortality rates in recent years. The increase in life expectancy of individuals poses a risk for insurance companies. ... -
Hayat Dışı Sigorta Riskinin Çok Yıllık Dönem Için Toplamsal Hasar Rezervi Yöntemi Ile Analizi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2014)Claims development results are the changes in claims reserves and one of the major risk drivers in the profit and loss statement of a general insurance company. These results are of central interest in every Solvency ... -
Değişken Katkılı Bireysel Emeklilik Planları Ve Optimal Yatırım Stratejisi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2015)Individual pension system is a defined contribution pension plan which is based on individuals creating savings throughout their work period and generating income during their retirement period. In individual pension ... -
Tarım Sigortalarında Konumsal Kümeleme Üzerine Bir Çalışma
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2017)The purpose of this study is to make a fair premium estimation for wheat production. We prefer layer based clustering model where location, damage ratio and damage probability compose the layers. For the first layer, claim ... -
Uzun Dönem Bakım Sigortasında Uzun Ömürlülük Riskinin Fiyatlandırılması
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2017)An increase in the incidence and duration of chronic illnesses have occurred with the extension of the expected life span. Chronic diseases lead to deterioration of the physical condition of the patients. These disorders ... -
Bağımlı Çoklu Hayat Anüitelerinde Uzun Ömürlülük Riskinin Stokastik Analizi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018)In this study, the AR (1) model was used for the interest rate which is one of the two basic variables that used in calculating the net single premium of the annuity. For the years between 2005-2018, government debt ... -
Düzleştirme Splaynlarının Hayat Dışı Sigorta Ürünleri Fiyatlamada Etkileri
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018)The Generalized Linear Models (GLM) is one of the most commonly used methods of pricing non-life insurance products. The method gives a great advantage for selecting loss distribution from exponential family. Typically ... -
Incorporating Heterogeneity Into The Prediction Of Total Claim Amount
(Hacettepe Univ, Fac Sci, 2018)The paper proposes an alternative predictor for the total claim amount of individuals that can be used for any type of non-life insurance products in which individuals may have multiple claims within one policy period. The ... -
Sigorta Sektörünün Kredi Portföy Risk Modeli İle Değerlendirilmesi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018)The credit risk, which emerges as a concept of default risk, can be defined as the risk that any liability of the borrower can not be fulfilled. Default cases arise out of the situations of delayed payments, the presence ... -
OTOMOBİL SİGORTALARINDA DENEYİM FİYATLANDIRMASI VE BONUS-MALUS SİSTEMİ
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018)In a competitive market it has become compulsory for insurance companies to partition their portfolios into the risk categories with all policyholders belonging to the same category paying the same premium and to fairly ... -
İşsizlik Sigortası Fonunun Farklı Senaryolara Dayalı Aktüeryal Değerlendirmesi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018-05-17)National and international preventions are being taken everywhere in the world in order to keep the long term individual, social and economic effects of unemployment to the minimum. Unemployment insurance, which is one of ... -
Bernstein Kopula İle Hayat Dışı Sigortasında Bağımlılığın Modellenmesi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018-06-11)Copula is distribution functions which is used in modelling dependency between random variables. For this reason, it is frequently used in dependency studies. In this study, the effectiveness of the modeling of non-life ... -
Hayat Dışı Sigorta Sektöründe Optimal Primin Belirlenmesi
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018-06-19)In globalizing competitive markets, price optimization is not a new concept. However, there is no widely accepted method and common definition of price optimization in the insurance sector. Insurance companies make models ... -
Multivariate Stochastic Prioritization of Dependent Actuarial Risks Under Uncertainty
(Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2018-07)The main prompting factor behind decision making is comparing or ordering risks. Risk management strategies should be based on the dynamics of stochastic ordering relations and influences of decision makers' tendencies on ...
